Economists are divided on whether the US and global economy will enter a recession in 2026. Rising tariffs, persistent inflation, high interest rates and slowing consumer spending have all been cited as warning signs. On the other hand, the labor market remains resilient, corporate earnings have held up and the Federal Reserve has room to cut rates if needed. Will there be a recession in 2026? The crowd is nearly split 50-50 on one of the most important economic questions of the year.